library(ggplot2)
library (readr)
library(tidyverse)
library(dplyr)
library(covidcast)
library(lubridate)
library(ggpubr)
library(reshape2)
library(tidyr)
library(viridis)
library(gridExtra)
library(zoo)
library(cowplot)
library(gplots)
library(car)
source("code/painter.r")
source("code/load_all_data.r")
source("code/shifter.r")STARTDATE <- "2020-02-20"
ENDDATE <- lubridate::today()
GEO_TYPE = "state" # state-level
GEO_VALUE = "*" # all states
EXCLUDED_AREAS = c("as","gu", "mp","vi") # excluded areas due to small sample sizedata <- load_covidcast_data(STARTDATE, ENDDATE, GEO_TYPE, GEO_VALUE, EXCLUDED_AREAS)
# Read government intervention data
urlfile="https://raw.githubusercontent.com/COVID19StatePolicy/SocialDistancing/master/data/USstatesCov19distancingpolicy.csv"
policy <- read_csv(url(urlfile))# Convert to lower case
policy$StatePostal <- tolower(policy$StatePostal)
# First we convert the date to a proper format
policy[, c("DateIssued", "DateEnacted", "DateExpiry" ,"DateEased", "DateEnded", "DateReexpanded1", "DateReeased1")] <- data.frame(lapply(policy[, c("DateIssued", "DateEnacted", "DateExpiry" ,"DateEased", "DateEnded", "DateReexpanded1", "DateReeased1")], function(x) as.Date(as.character(x), "%Y%m%d")))
# Get the dates between start and end date
all.dates <- seq(as.Date(STARTDATE), as.Date(ENDDATE), by="days")
time_value <- sort(rep(all.dates, length(unique(policy$StatePostal)) ))
# Generate geo_value
geo_value <- rep(unique(policy$StatePostal), length(all.dates))
policy_signal <- data.frame(time_value = time_value, geo_value = geo_value)
# Create empty columns
policy_signal[,unique(policy$StatePolicy)] <- 0
# Fill in the count for each date
# Get the policy name and state to filer policy signal
for (row in (1:nrow(policy))){
current.policy <- policy[row,]$StatePolicy
current.state <- policy[row,]$StatePostal
if (is.na(policy[row,]$DateEnded)){
# Filter the rows of dataframe to be the current state and the time value that is after the policy is enacted.
policy_signal[policy_signal$geo_value == current.state & policy_signal$time_value > as.Date(policy[row,]$DateEnacted), current.policy] <- 1
}else{
# Get time range between Date Enacted and Date Ended
time.range <- seq(as.Date(policy[row,]$DateEnacted), as.Date(policy[row,]$DateEnded), by = "days")
# Fill in the the rows that are in the current policy and fall between the time arrange to be 1
policy_signal[policy_signal$time_value %in% time.range & policy_signal$geo_value == current.state, current.policy] <- 1
}
}
# Compute the sum of the number of policies for every day in the state
policy_signal$total.num.policy <- rowSums(policy_signal[unique(policy$StatePolicy)])
# Compute the average on a 7day sliding window
policy_signal <-policy_signal %>%
arrange(desc(geo_value)) %>%
group_by(geo_value) %>%
mutate(num.policy.7avg = rollmean(total.num.policy, k = 7, fill = NA))%>%
ungroup()
# Finalize the covidcast-like signal for governemnt intervention
covidcast.like.policy.signal <- policy_signal %>% transmute(
geo_value = geo_value,
signal = "policy_7dav_num",
time_value = time_value,
direction = NA,
issue = lubridate::today(),
lag = issue - time_value,
value = num.policy.7avg,
stderr = NA,
sample_size = NA,
data_source = 'University of Washington')# We fist get all the signals
ftime.mobility <- data$Full.Time.Mobility[c("time_value","geo_value","value")] #mobility
case.count <- data$Avg.Confirmed.Case.Count[c("time_value","geo_value","value")]# case count
cumulative.case.count <-data$Cum.Avg.Case.Count[c("time_value","geo_value","value")]# cumulative case count
cumulative.case.count.prop <-data$Cum.Avg.Case.Count.Prop[c("time_value","geo_value","value")] # cumulative case count per 100,000
avg.death.count <- data$Avg.Death.Case.Count[c("time_value","geo_value","value")] #death count
cum.avg.death.count <- data$Cum.Avg.Death.Count[c("time_value","geo_value","value")] #cumulative death count
doc.visit <- data$smoothed_cli[c("time_value","geo_value","value")] # doctor visit
adj.doc.visit <- data$smoothed_adj_cli[c("time_value","geo_value","value")] # adjusted doctor visit
# Change the column name
colnames(ftime.mobility)[3]<-"full_time_work_prop"
colnames(case.count)[3] <- "confirmed_7dav_incidence_num"
colnames(cumulative.case.count)[3] <- "confirmed_7dav_cumulative"
colnames(cumulative.case.count.prop)[3] <- "confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop"
colnames(avg.death.count)[3]<-"deaths_7dav_incidence_num"
colnames(cum.avg.death.count)[3] <- "deaths_7dav_cumulative_num"
colnames(doc.visit)[3] <- "smoothed_cli"
colnames(adj.doc.visit)[3] <- "smoothed_adj_cli"
# Create a list of confounders for left join with mobility
confounders <- list(case.count, cumulative.case.count, cumulative.case.count.prop,
avg.death.count, cum.avg.death.count, doc.visit, adj.doc.visit)
# Turn the polical signal to be factors
factored.policy.signal <- cbind(policy_signal[1:2], lapply(policy_signal[3:17], as.factor),policy_signal[18:19])
# Intervention left join mobility with policy signal
intervention_mobility_case <- left_join(ftime.mobility,factored.policy.signal , by=c("time_value", "geo_value"))
# Left join again with all other potential confounders
for (confounder in confounders){
intervention_mobility_case <- left_join(intervention_mobility_case, confounder, by=c("time_value", "geo_value"))
}
# Filter state "pr" as it is not available in the intervention data
factored_data <- intervention_mobility_case %>% filter(!(geo_value %in% c("pr")))Moreover, we may be interested to know the following:
Is there a difference in the means of mobility signal across state?
Is there a difference in the means of mobility signal in terms of stay-at-home order?
Is there an interaction between the factor of states and the factor of the order?
To answer these questions, assuming that the data are normally distributed and the variance across groups are homogeneous, we will use ANOVA (Analysis of Variance). We will check these assumptions in the model diagnostics.
We can see that some states have a particularly higher range of the mean mobility signal. For example, Montana (MT) clearly stands out from the rest, whereas Hawaii (HI) has a much lower mean mobility signal from Feb. to Sep. in 2020.
# Plotting the main effect of geo_value
plotmeans(full_time_work_prop~ geo_value,data=intervention_mobility_case, xlab="Geo_value", ylab="Mobility", main="Main effect (States)") 
for(i in 4:17){
interaction.plot(factored_data[,"geo_value"], factored_data[,names(factored_data)[i]], factored_data$full_time_work_prop, xlab="States", ylab= "Full time work prop", main=paste("Interaction plot between states and", names(factored_data)[i], "on mobility"))
}
# plot the boplots for categoical variables columns
p <- list()
counter <- 1
# loop through all categorical variables for intervention
for (i in 4:17){
p[[counter]]<- ggplot(factored_data, aes_string(x=names(factored_data)[3], y=names(factored_data)[i])) +
geom_boxplot() +
stat_summary(fun = mean, geom = "errorbar", aes(xmax = ..x.., xmin = ..x..), color ="red", linetype = 2)+
labs(title=paste("Mobility by", names(factored_data)[i]), x="Mobility", y=names(factored_data)[i]) + theme(plot.title = element_text(size=9))
counter <- counter + 1
}
# Plot all the ggplot
do.call(grid.arrange,p)
# grouped boxplot
for (i in 4:17){
p <- ggplot(factored_data, aes_string(x=names(factored_data)[3], y=names(factored_data)[2], fill=names(factored_data)[i])) +
geom_boxplot() +
labs(title=paste("Mobility by State and", names(factored_data)[i]),x="mobility", y="State")
print(p)
}
par(mfrow=c(2,2))
hist(factored_data$full_time_work_prop, main="Histogram of unchanged response", xlab="full_time_work_prop")
hist(log(factored_data$full_time_work_prop), main="Histogram of log response", xlab="full_time_work_prop")
hist(1/(factored_data$full_time_work_prop), main="Histogram of 1/response", xlab="full_time_work_prop")
hist(sqrt(factored_data$full_time_work_prop), main="Histogram of squared root of response", xlab="full_time_work_prop")
par(mfrow=c(3,3))
for (i in 19:ncol(factored_data))
{
hist(factored_data[,names(factored_data)[i]], xlab=names(factored_data)[i], main=paste("Histogram of", names(factored_data)[i]))
}
par(mfrow=c(1,1))We modified the data so that the confounders are shifted n days forwarded in time based on our initial exploration.
# select best lag number based on intial exploration
case.shifted.days.spearman <- 26 # based spearman correlation
doc.visit.shifted.days.spearman <- 33 # based spearman correlation for doctor visit
cum.death.shifted.days.spearman <- 26
death.shifted.days.spearman <- 100
case.vec <- c("confirmed_7dav_incidence_num", "confirmed_7dav_cumulative", "confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop")
doc.vec <- c("smoothed_cli", "smoothed_adj_cli")
cum.death.vec <- c("deaths_7dav_cumulative_num")
death.vec <- c("deaths_7dav_incidence_num")
for (state in unique(factored_data$geo_value)){
# Filter dataframe by every state
selected.df <- factored_data %>% filter(geo_value==state)
# Shift the case count column vector by the specified shift time
factored_data <- shiftDays(selected.df, factored_data, case.shifted.days.spearman, case.vec)
# Shift the doctor column vector by the specified shift time
factored_data <-shiftDays(selected.df, factored_data, doc.visit.shifted.days.spearman, doc.vec)
# Shift the death count column vector by the specified shift time
factored_data <-shiftDays(selected.df, factored_data, cum.death.shifted.days.spearman, cum.death.vec)
# Shift the cum death count column vector by the specified shift time
factored_data <-shiftDays(selected.df, factored_data, death.shifted.days.spearman, death.vec)
}
#Problematic: EmergDec, deaths_7dav_incidence_num
# model 1 : y is mobility, x's are the confounders and intervention
# Note: we dropped the geo and time value
lm.fit.1 <- lm(full_time_work_prop ~ confirmed_7dav_incidence_num+
confirmed_7dav_cumulative+
confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop+
PublicMask+
StayAtHome+
SchoolClose+
BarRestrict+
RestaurantRestrict+
Quarantine+
NEBusinessClose+
TravelRestrictIntra+
TravelRestrictExit+
TravelRestrictEntry+
GathRecom+
total.num.policy+
num.policy.7avg+
deaths_7dav_cumulative_num+
smoothed_cli+
smoothed_adj_cli+
CaseIsolation, data=factored_data[,-c(1,2,4,24)], na.action = na.exclude)
summary(lm.fit.1)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = full_time_work_prop ~ confirmed_7dav_incidence_num +
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative + confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop +
## PublicMask + StayAtHome + SchoolClose + BarRestrict + RestaurantRestrict +
## Quarantine + NEBusinessClose + TravelRestrictIntra + TravelRestrictExit +
## TravelRestrictEntry + GathRecom + total.num.policy + num.policy.7avg +
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num + smoothed_cli + smoothed_adj_cli +
## CaseIsolation, data = factored_data[, -c(1, 2, 4, 24)], na.action = na.exclude)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.038043 -0.007214 0.000450 0.006409 0.047913
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.353e-02 6.958e-04 62.563 < 2e-16 ***
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1.112e-08 1.487e-07 0.075 0.940364
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1.124e-08 3.363e-09 3.343 0.000832 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 6.447e-06 2.911e-07 22.146 < 2e-16 ***
## PublicMask1 1.677e-03 4.446e-04 3.772 0.000163 ***
## StayAtHome1 1.317e-03 4.419e-04 2.980 0.002889 **
## SchoolClose1 -5.343e-03 4.303e-04 -12.418 < 2e-16 ***
## BarRestrict1 1.474e-04 1.071e-03 0.138 0.890494
## RestaurantRestrict1 -2.068e-04 7.558e-04 -0.274 0.784389
## Quarantine1 1.359e-03 3.810e-04 3.566 0.000364 ***
## NEBusinessClose1 1.105e-03 4.441e-04 2.488 0.012875 *
## TravelRestrictIntra1 -2.814e-03 7.696e-04 -3.656 0.000258 ***
## TravelRestrictExit1 -2.939e-03 1.762e-03 -1.668 0.095273 .
## TravelRestrictEntry1 3.662e-04 7.968e-04 0.460 0.645851
## GathRecom1 6.163e-04 3.585e-04 1.719 0.085667 .
## total.num.policy 6.937e-04 6.822e-04 1.017 0.309192
## num.policy.7avg -1.220e-03 6.102e-04 -2.000 0.045565 *
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num -4.479e-07 5.111e-08 -8.764 < 2e-16 ***
## smoothed_cli -7.382e-03 1.487e-04 -49.628 < 2e-16 ***
## smoothed_adj_cli 7.450e-03 1.689e-04 44.117 < 2e-16 ***
## CaseIsolation1 2.363e-03 4.162e-04 5.678 1.4e-08 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.01048 on 9822 degrees of freedom
## (1683 observations deleted due to missingness)
## Multiple R-squared: 0.3318, Adjusted R-squared: 0.3305
## F-statistic: 243.9 on 20 and 9822 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16# Plot the normal qq plot, residuals vs. fitted values
par(mfrow=c(2,2))
plot(lm.fit.1)
# model 1: include all two way interaction
lm.fit.2 <- lm(full_time_work_prop~.^2, data=factored_data[,-c(1,2,4,24)])
summary(lm.fit.2)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = full_time_work_prop ~ .^2, data = factored_data[,
## -c(1, 2, 4, 24)])
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.045272 -0.005739 0.000684 0.005813 0.044673
##
## Coefficients: (54 not defined because of singularities)
## Estimate
## (Intercept) 3.341e-02
## SchoolClose1 5.542e-03
## GathRestrict1 -6.490e-03
## BarRestrict1 2.082e-03
## OtherBusinessClose1 5.199e-02
## RestaurantRestrict1 -2.417e-02
## CaseIsolation1 -1.945e-02
## StayAtHome1 -1.873e-02
## PublicMask1 -7.039e-03
## Quarantine1 2.568e-03
## NEBusinessClose1 -8.219e-04
## TravelRestrictIntra1 4.596e-02
## GathRecom1 4.002e-03
## TravelRestrictExit1 1.723e-02
## TravelRestrictEntry1 -6.056e-02
## total.num.policy NA
## num.policy.7avg 2.403e-03
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 2.585e-05
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative 7.764e-08
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1.968e-05
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num -3.643e-06
## smoothed_cli -1.568e-02
## smoothed_adj_cli 1.663e-02
## SchoolClose1:GathRestrict1 1.377e-02
## SchoolClose1:BarRestrict1 1.044e-03
## SchoolClose1:OtherBusinessClose1 2.839e-03
## SchoolClose1:RestaurantRestrict1 -9.327e-03
## SchoolClose1:CaseIsolation1 1.380e-03
## SchoolClose1:StayAtHome1 -3.561e-04
## SchoolClose1:PublicMask1 1.653e-03
## SchoolClose1:Quarantine1 3.844e-03
## SchoolClose1:NEBusinessClose1 5.587e-03
## SchoolClose1:TravelRestrictIntra1 -1.462e-02
## SchoolClose1:GathRecom1 1.421e-03
## SchoolClose1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## SchoolClose1:TravelRestrictEntry1 1.935e-03
## SchoolClose1:total.num.policy NA
## SchoolClose1:num.policy.7avg -2.633e-03
## SchoolClose1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1.891e-06
## SchoolClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 7.556e-08
## SchoolClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop -5.395e-06
## SchoolClose1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num -2.626e-07
## SchoolClose1:smoothed_cli 2.305e-03
## SchoolClose1:smoothed_adj_cli -2.827e-03
## GathRestrict1:BarRestrict1 2.156e-03
## GathRestrict1:OtherBusinessClose1 NA
## GathRestrict1:RestaurantRestrict1 NA
## GathRestrict1:CaseIsolation1 -1.916e-03
## GathRestrict1:StayAtHome1 4.925e-03
## GathRestrict1:PublicMask1 7.156e-03
## GathRestrict1:Quarantine1 1.170e-02
## GathRestrict1:NEBusinessClose1 6.587e-03
## GathRestrict1:TravelRestrictIntra1 -1.773e-02
## GathRestrict1:GathRecom1 7.430e-04
## GathRestrict1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## GathRestrict1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## GathRestrict1:total.num.policy NA
## GathRestrict1:num.policy.7avg -2.111e-03
## GathRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num -1.437e-06
## GathRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 3.525e-07
## GathRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop -1.248e-05
## GathRestrict1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num -1.106e-05
## GathRestrict1:smoothed_cli -2.154e-03
## GathRestrict1:smoothed_adj_cli 2.082e-03
## BarRestrict1:OtherBusinessClose1 -3.305e-02
## BarRestrict1:RestaurantRestrict1 7.786e-03
## BarRestrict1:CaseIsolation1 3.074e-02
## BarRestrict1:StayAtHome1 1.861e-02
## BarRestrict1:PublicMask1 -1.070e-02
## BarRestrict1:Quarantine1 -1.374e-02
## BarRestrict1:NEBusinessClose1 NA
## BarRestrict1:TravelRestrictIntra1 -6.068e-02
## BarRestrict1:GathRecom1 -1.280e-03
## BarRestrict1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## BarRestrict1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## BarRestrict1:total.num.policy NA
## BarRestrict1:num.policy.7avg -3.760e-03
## BarRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num -1.320e-05
## BarRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative -1.980e-06
## BarRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 9.653e-05
## BarRestrict1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1.552e-05
## BarRestrict1:smoothed_cli -8.193e-04
## BarRestrict1:smoothed_adj_cli 2.311e-03
## OtherBusinessClose1:RestaurantRestrict1 NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:CaseIsolation1 5.018e-03
## OtherBusinessClose1:StayAtHome1 -1.498e-03
## OtherBusinessClose1:PublicMask1 4.244e-03
## OtherBusinessClose1:Quarantine1 1.675e-02
## OtherBusinessClose1:NEBusinessClose1 7.120e-03
## OtherBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:GathRecom1 2.760e-04
## OtherBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:total.num.policy NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:num.policy.7avg -4.163e-03
## OtherBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 2.367e-06
## OtherBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 9.416e-07
## OtherBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop -3.231e-05
## OtherBusinessClose1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num -7.053e-06
## OtherBusinessClose1:smoothed_cli 4.848e-03
## OtherBusinessClose1:smoothed_adj_cli -5.333e-03
## RestaurantRestrict1:CaseIsolation1 -2.936e-02
## RestaurantRestrict1:StayAtHome1 -2.269e-02
## RestaurantRestrict1:PublicMask1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:Quarantine1 -2.981e-04
## RestaurantRestrict1:NEBusinessClose1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:GathRecom1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:total.num.policy NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:num.policy.7avg 8.666e-03
## RestaurantRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num -5.306e-06
## RestaurantRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 8.071e-07
## RestaurantRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop -6.206e-05
## RestaurantRestrict1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num -9.204e-07
## RestaurantRestrict1:smoothed_cli 2.974e-03
## RestaurantRestrict1:smoothed_adj_cli -2.712e-03
## CaseIsolation1:StayAtHome1 -4.053e-03
## CaseIsolation1:PublicMask1 -2.810e-04
## CaseIsolation1:Quarantine1 5.041e-03
## CaseIsolation1:NEBusinessClose1 7.956e-03
## CaseIsolation1:TravelRestrictIntra1 -1.856e-02
## CaseIsolation1:GathRecom1 -2.491e-03
## CaseIsolation1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## CaseIsolation1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## CaseIsolation1:total.num.policy NA
## CaseIsolation1:num.policy.7avg 1.715e-03
## CaseIsolation1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num -1.677e-06
## CaseIsolation1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative -1.086e-07
## CaseIsolation1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 7.170e-07
## CaseIsolation1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.838e-06
## CaseIsolation1:smoothed_cli -4.486e-04
## CaseIsolation1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.214e-03
## StayAtHome1:PublicMask1 -1.433e-03
## StayAtHome1:Quarantine1 1.230e-03
## StayAtHome1:NEBusinessClose1 9.349e-03
## StayAtHome1:TravelRestrictIntra1 -7.507e-03
## StayAtHome1:GathRecom1 -3.231e-03
## StayAtHome1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## StayAtHome1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## StayAtHome1:total.num.policy NA
## StayAtHome1:num.policy.7avg 2.674e-03
## StayAtHome1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num -1.462e-06
## StayAtHome1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 2.481e-07
## StayAtHome1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop -6.639e-06
## StayAtHome1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num -2.583e-06
## StayAtHome1:smoothed_cli -6.410e-04
## StayAtHome1:smoothed_adj_cli 4.813e-04
## PublicMask1:Quarantine1 4.910e-03
## PublicMask1:NEBusinessClose1 4.014e-03
## PublicMask1:TravelRestrictIntra1 -8.907e-03
## PublicMask1:GathRecom1 3.024e-03
## PublicMask1:TravelRestrictExit1 -4.773e-03
## PublicMask1:TravelRestrictEntry1 -1.591e-02
## PublicMask1:total.num.policy NA
## PublicMask1:num.policy.7avg 5.438e-04
## PublicMask1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 5.215e-08
## PublicMask1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative -2.566e-07
## PublicMask1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 5.643e-06
## PublicMask1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 4.561e-06
## PublicMask1:smoothed_cli 5.423e-03
## PublicMask1:smoothed_adj_cli -6.439e-03
## Quarantine1:NEBusinessClose1 1.460e-02
## Quarantine1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA
## Quarantine1:GathRecom1 -6.275e-05
## Quarantine1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## Quarantine1:TravelRestrictEntry1 -4.986e-03
## Quarantine1:total.num.policy NA
## Quarantine1:num.policy.7avg -2.962e-03
## Quarantine1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num -6.838e-08
## Quarantine1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1.919e-07
## Quarantine1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop -6.843e-06
## Quarantine1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num -2.147e-06
## Quarantine1:smoothed_cli 1.542e-03
## Quarantine1:smoothed_adj_cli -1.844e-03
## NEBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA
## NEBusinessClose1:GathRecom1 4.339e-03
## NEBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## NEBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## NEBusinessClose1:total.num.policy NA
## NEBusinessClose1:num.policy.7avg -3.719e-03
## NEBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 3.048e-06
## NEBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative -9.169e-08
## NEBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop -2.849e-06
## NEBusinessClose1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.146e-06
## NEBusinessClose1:smoothed_cli 2.875e-03
## NEBusinessClose1:smoothed_adj_cli -2.677e-03
## TravelRestrictIntra1:GathRecom1 -2.471e-02
## TravelRestrictIntra1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## TravelRestrictIntra1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## TravelRestrictIntra1:total.num.policy NA
## TravelRestrictIntra1:num.policy.7avg 6.403e-03
## TravelRestrictIntra1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 2.750e-05
## TravelRestrictIntra1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative -6.323e-07
## TravelRestrictIntra1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop -1.416e-07
## TravelRestrictIntra1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 4.305e-05
## TravelRestrictIntra1:smoothed_cli 5.867e-03
## TravelRestrictIntra1:smoothed_adj_cli -6.393e-03
## GathRecom1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## GathRecom1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## GathRecom1:total.num.policy NA
## GathRecom1:num.policy.7avg -3.626e-04
## GathRecom1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1.541e-06
## GathRecom1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative -9.371e-08
## GathRecom1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop -1.061e-06
## GathRecom1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.035e-06
## GathRecom1:smoothed_cli 5.842e-04
## GathRecom1:smoothed_adj_cli -1.426e-03
## TravelRestrictExit1:TravelRestrictEntry1 -3.809e-03
## TravelRestrictExit1:total.num.policy NA
## TravelRestrictExit1:num.policy.7avg -1.829e-03
## TravelRestrictExit1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 7.326e-04
## TravelRestrictExit1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative -1.787e-04
## TravelRestrictExit1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop NA
## TravelRestrictExit1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1.896e-03
## TravelRestrictExit1:smoothed_cli -1.944e-02
## TravelRestrictExit1:smoothed_adj_cli 3.201e-02
## TravelRestrictEntry1:total.num.policy NA
## TravelRestrictEntry1:num.policy.7avg 6.415e-03
## TravelRestrictEntry1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 5.419e-06
## TravelRestrictEntry1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative -2.865e-07
## TravelRestrictEntry1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 3.937e-05
## TravelRestrictEntry1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 9.633e-07
## TravelRestrictEntry1:smoothed_cli -1.570e-02
## TravelRestrictEntry1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.482e-02
## total.num.policy:num.policy.7avg NA
## total.num.policy:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num NA
## total.num.policy:confirmed_7dav_cumulative NA
## total.num.policy:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop NA
## total.num.policy:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num NA
## total.num.policy:smoothed_cli NA
## total.num.policy:smoothed_adj_cli NA
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num -1.299e-06
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 6.296e-09
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1.131e-06
## num.policy.7avg:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num -2.379e-07
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_cli -7.061e-04
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_adj_cli 6.459e-04
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative -1.969e-11
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 3.850e-09
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.044e-10
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_cli 7.081e-07
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_adj_cli -1.054e-06
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop -1.045e-10
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.800e-12
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_cli -1.695e-08
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_adj_cli 3.737e-08
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.136e-09
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_cli -5.177e-07
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_adj_cli -8.943e-07
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_cli 2.237e-07
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_adj_cli -4.654e-07
## smoothed_cli:smoothed_adj_cli 9.004e-05
## Std. Error t value
## (Intercept) 5.045e-03 6.623
## SchoolClose1 3.998e-03 1.386
## GathRestrict1 4.579e-03 -1.417
## BarRestrict1 5.416e-02 0.038
## OtherBusinessClose1 1.253e-02 4.149
## RestaurantRestrict1 1.663e-02 -1.454
## CaseIsolation1 6.599e-03 -2.948
## StayAtHome1 4.691e-03 -3.992
## PublicMask1 4.009e-03 -1.756
## Quarantine1 4.511e-03 0.569
## NEBusinessClose1 8.988e-03 -0.091
## TravelRestrictIntra1 1.302e-02 3.530
## GathRecom1 4.020e-03 0.996
## TravelRestrictExit1 8.321e-02 0.207
## TravelRestrictEntry1 3.850e-02 -1.573
## total.num.policy NA NA
## num.policy.7avg 2.541e-03 0.946
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 4.104e-06 6.297
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1.584e-07 0.490
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 4.894e-06 4.022
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 4.356e-06 -0.836
## smoothed_cli 1.757e-03 -8.921
## smoothed_adj_cli 1.848e-03 8.999
## SchoolClose1:GathRestrict1 3.215e-03 4.282
## SchoolClose1:BarRestrict1 5.845e-03 0.179
## SchoolClose1:OtherBusinessClose1 3.551e-03 0.799
## SchoolClose1:RestaurantRestrict1 4.864e-03 -1.917
## SchoolClose1:CaseIsolation1 2.803e-03 0.492
## SchoolClose1:StayAtHome1 2.443e-03 -0.146
## SchoolClose1:PublicMask1 3.111e-03 0.531
## SchoolClose1:Quarantine1 2.304e-03 1.668
## SchoolClose1:NEBusinessClose1 2.736e-03 2.042
## SchoolClose1:TravelRestrictIntra1 4.847e-03 -3.016
## SchoolClose1:GathRecom1 2.432e-03 0.584
## SchoolClose1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## SchoolClose1:TravelRestrictEntry1 5.469e-03 0.354
## SchoolClose1:total.num.policy NA NA
## SchoolClose1:num.policy.7avg 1.958e-03 -1.345
## SchoolClose1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1.557e-06 1.215
## SchoolClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 2.644e-08 2.858
## SchoolClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 2.576e-06 -2.094
## SchoolClose1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 4.358e-07 -0.603
## SchoolClose1:smoothed_cli 1.401e-03 1.645
## SchoolClose1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.433e-03 -1.972
## GathRestrict1:BarRestrict1 6.091e-03 0.354
## GathRestrict1:OtherBusinessClose1 NA NA
## GathRestrict1:RestaurantRestrict1 NA NA
## GathRestrict1:CaseIsolation1 4.128e-03 -0.464
## GathRestrict1:StayAtHome1 2.567e-03 1.919
## GathRestrict1:PublicMask1 2.734e-03 2.618
## GathRestrict1:Quarantine1 2.902e-03 4.032
## GathRestrict1:NEBusinessClose1 3.276e-03 2.011
## GathRestrict1:TravelRestrictIntra1 5.625e-03 -3.151
## GathRestrict1:GathRecom1 3.215e-03 0.231
## GathRestrict1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## GathRestrict1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA NA
## GathRestrict1:total.num.policy NA NA
## GathRestrict1:num.policy.7avg 1.895e-03 -1.114
## GathRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 2.136e-06 -0.673
## GathRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 4.536e-08 7.771
## GathRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 3.360e-06 -3.714
## GathRestrict1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1.744e-06 -6.342
## GathRestrict1:smoothed_cli 1.620e-03 -1.329
## GathRestrict1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.702e-03 1.223
## BarRestrict1:OtherBusinessClose1 6.250e-03 -5.288
## BarRestrict1:RestaurantRestrict1 4.340e-02 0.179
## BarRestrict1:CaseIsolation1 1.775e-02 1.732
## BarRestrict1:StayAtHome1 4.199e-02 0.443
## BarRestrict1:PublicMask1 5.026e-03 -2.129
## BarRestrict1:Quarantine1 8.065e-03 -1.703
## BarRestrict1:NEBusinessClose1 NA NA
## BarRestrict1:TravelRestrictIntra1 1.259e-02 -4.819
## BarRestrict1:GathRecom1 4.578e-03 -0.280
## BarRestrict1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## BarRestrict1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA NA
## BarRestrict1:total.num.policy NA NA
## BarRestrict1:num.policy.7avg 4.499e-03 -0.836
## BarRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 5.777e-06 -2.285
## BarRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 6.438e-07 -3.076
## BarRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 4.459e-05 2.165
## BarRestrict1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1.292e-05 1.201
## BarRestrict1:smoothed_cli 1.913e-03 -0.428
## BarRestrict1:smoothed_adj_cli 2.355e-03 0.981
## OtherBusinessClose1:RestaurantRestrict1 NA NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:CaseIsolation1 4.444e-03 1.129
## OtherBusinessClose1:StayAtHome1 3.545e-03 -0.423
## OtherBusinessClose1:PublicMask1 3.864e-03 1.098
## OtherBusinessClose1:Quarantine1 4.572e-03 3.664
## OtherBusinessClose1:NEBusinessClose1 5.541e-03 1.285
## OtherBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:GathRecom1 3.944e-03 0.070
## OtherBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:total.num.policy NA NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:num.policy.7avg 2.481e-03 -1.678
## OtherBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 2.648e-06 0.894
## OtherBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 2.349e-07 4.009
## OtherBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 6.596e-06 -4.898
## OtherBusinessClose1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.143e-06 -3.291
## OtherBusinessClose1:smoothed_cli 1.678e-03 2.889
## OtherBusinessClose1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.756e-03 -3.037
## RestaurantRestrict1:CaseIsolation1 1.696e-02 -1.732
## RestaurantRestrict1:StayAtHome1 4.172e-02 -0.544
## RestaurantRestrict1:PublicMask1 NA NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:Quarantine1 6.373e-03 -0.047
## RestaurantRestrict1:NEBusinessClose1 NA NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:GathRecom1 NA NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:total.num.policy NA NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:num.policy.7avg 3.627e-03 2.389
## RestaurantRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 3.556e-06 -1.492
## RestaurantRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 5.919e-07 1.364
## RestaurantRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 4.396e-05 -1.412
## RestaurantRestrict1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1.206e-05 -0.076
## RestaurantRestrict1:smoothed_cli 1.594e-03 1.866
## RestaurantRestrict1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.898e-03 -1.429
## CaseIsolation1:StayAtHome1 2.784e-03 -1.456
## CaseIsolation1:PublicMask1 2.480e-03 -0.113
## CaseIsolation1:Quarantine1 2.741e-03 1.839
## CaseIsolation1:NEBusinessClose1 2.795e-03 2.846
## CaseIsolation1:TravelRestrictIntra1 4.643e-03 -3.998
## CaseIsolation1:GathRecom1 2.597e-03 -0.959
## CaseIsolation1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## CaseIsolation1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA NA
## CaseIsolation1:total.num.policy NA NA
## CaseIsolation1:num.policy.7avg 1.960e-03 0.875
## CaseIsolation1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1.918e-06 -0.875
## CaseIsolation1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 4.049e-08 -2.683
## CaseIsolation1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 2.717e-06 0.264
## CaseIsolation1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 8.012e-07 3.543
## CaseIsolation1:smoothed_cli 1.437e-03 -0.312
## CaseIsolation1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.462e-03 0.830
## StayAtHome1:PublicMask1 2.237e-03 -0.641
## StayAtHome1:Quarantine1 2.081e-03 0.591
## StayAtHome1:NEBusinessClose1 2.048e-03 4.565
## StayAtHome1:TravelRestrictIntra1 6.375e-03 -1.178
## StayAtHome1:GathRecom1 2.090e-03 -1.546
## StayAtHome1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## StayAtHome1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA NA
## StayAtHome1:total.num.policy NA NA
## StayAtHome1:num.policy.7avg 1.477e-03 1.810
## StayAtHome1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1.957e-06 -0.747
## StayAtHome1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 4.044e-08 6.134
## StayAtHome1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 2.799e-06 -2.372
## StayAtHome1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 5.654e-07 -4.568
## StayAtHome1:smoothed_cli 1.422e-03 -0.451
## StayAtHome1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.440e-03 0.334
## PublicMask1:Quarantine1 1.938e-03 2.533
## PublicMask1:NEBusinessClose1 2.418e-03 1.660
## PublicMask1:TravelRestrictIntra1 4.175e-03 -2.134
## PublicMask1:GathRecom1 1.995e-03 1.515
## PublicMask1:TravelRestrictExit1 9.679e-03 -0.493
## PublicMask1:TravelRestrictEntry1 4.767e-03 -3.338
## PublicMask1:total.num.policy NA NA
## PublicMask1:num.policy.7avg 1.546e-03 0.352
## PublicMask1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 2.100e-06 0.025
## PublicMask1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1.546e-07 -1.659
## PublicMask1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 4.603e-06 1.226
## PublicMask1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 3.472e-06 1.314
## PublicMask1:smoothed_cli 1.564e-03 3.468
## PublicMask1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.627e-03 -3.958
## Quarantine1:NEBusinessClose1 2.436e-03 5.993
## Quarantine1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA NA
## Quarantine1:GathRecom1 1.987e-03 -0.032
## Quarantine1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## Quarantine1:TravelRestrictEntry1 1.080e-02 -0.462
## Quarantine1:total.num.policy NA NA
## Quarantine1:num.policy.7avg 1.431e-03 -2.070
## Quarantine1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 2.064e-06 -0.033
## Quarantine1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 3.727e-08 5.149
## Quarantine1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 2.626e-06 -2.606
## Quarantine1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 5.418e-07 -3.964
## Quarantine1:smoothed_cli 1.411e-03 1.093
## Quarantine1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.423e-03 -1.296
## NEBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA NA
## NEBusinessClose1:GathRecom1 1.951e-03 2.224
## NEBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## NEBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA NA
## NEBusinessClose1:total.num.policy NA NA
## NEBusinessClose1:num.policy.7avg 1.544e-03 -2.408
## NEBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1.882e-06 1.619
## NEBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 3.305e-08 -2.774
## NEBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 2.668e-06 -1.068
## NEBusinessClose1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1.022e-06 2.100
## NEBusinessClose1:smoothed_cli 1.448e-03 1.986
## NEBusinessClose1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.480e-03 -1.809
## TravelRestrictIntra1:GathRecom1 3.971e-03 -6.224
## TravelRestrictIntra1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## TravelRestrictIntra1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA NA
## TravelRestrictIntra1:total.num.policy NA NA
## TravelRestrictIntra1:num.policy.7avg 2.970e-03 2.156
## TravelRestrictIntra1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 2.626e-05 1.047
## TravelRestrictIntra1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 3.202e-06 -0.198
## TravelRestrictIntra1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 2.102e-05 -0.007
## TravelRestrictIntra1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.146e-04 0.201
## TravelRestrictIntra1:smoothed_cli 4.984e-03 1.177
## TravelRestrictIntra1:smoothed_adj_cli 4.087e-03 -1.564
## GathRecom1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA NA
## GathRecom1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA NA
## GathRecom1:total.num.policy NA NA
## GathRecom1:num.policy.7avg 1.225e-03 -0.296
## GathRecom1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1.714e-06 0.899
## GathRecom1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 3.866e-08 -2.424
## GathRecom1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 2.711e-06 -0.391
## GathRecom1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 6.189e-07 3.288
## GathRecom1:smoothed_cli 1.425e-03 0.410
## GathRecom1:smoothed_adj_cli 1.460e-03 -0.976
## TravelRestrictExit1:TravelRestrictEntry1 1.354e-02 -0.281
## TravelRestrictExit1:total.num.policy NA NA
## TravelRestrictExit1:num.policy.7avg 7.662e-03 -0.239
## TravelRestrictExit1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 4.676e-04 1.567
## TravelRestrictExit1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 2.162e-04 -0.826
## TravelRestrictExit1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop NA NA
## TravelRestrictExit1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.914e-03 0.651
## TravelRestrictExit1:smoothed_cli 1.273e-02 -1.527
## TravelRestrictExit1:smoothed_adj_cli 3.220e-02 0.994
## TravelRestrictEntry1:total.num.policy NA NA
## TravelRestrictEntry1:num.policy.7avg 4.252e-03 1.509
## TravelRestrictEntry1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 5.056e-06 1.072
## TravelRestrictEntry1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 4.480e-07 -0.639
## TravelRestrictEntry1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 5.052e-05 0.779
## TravelRestrictEntry1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.111e-06 0.456
## TravelRestrictEntry1:smoothed_cli 2.632e-03 -5.966
## TravelRestrictEntry1:smoothed_adj_cli 3.016e-03 4.914
## total.num.policy:num.policy.7avg NA NA
## total.num.policy:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num NA NA
## total.num.policy:confirmed_7dav_cumulative NA NA
## total.num.policy:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop NA NA
## total.num.policy:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num NA NA
## total.num.policy:smoothed_cli NA NA
## total.num.policy:smoothed_adj_cli NA NA
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1.616e-06 -0.804
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1.808e-08 0.348
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 2.447e-06 0.462
## num.policy.7avg:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 3.955e-07 -0.601
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_cli 1.385e-03 -0.510
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_adj_cli 1.400e-03 0.461
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 2.384e-12 -8.260
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 5.524e-10 6.969
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 7.428e-11 2.752
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_cli 1.152e-07 6.147
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_adj_cli 1.426e-07 -7.388
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1.237e-11 -8.449
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1.107e-12 2.531
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_cli 3.177e-09 -5.335
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_adj_cli 5.462e-09 6.843
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 3.115e-10 6.857
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_cli 3.010e-07 -1.720
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_adj_cli 3.612e-07 -2.476
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_cli 4.478e-08 4.994
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_adj_cli 6.814e-08 -6.830
## smoothed_cli:smoothed_adj_cli 2.075e-05 4.339
## Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.72e-11 ***
## SchoolClose1 0.165691
## GathRestrict1 0.156428
## BarRestrict1 0.969328
## OtherBusinessClose1 3.37e-05 ***
## RestaurantRestrict1 0.146112
## CaseIsolation1 0.003206 **
## StayAtHome1 6.60e-05 ***
## PublicMask1 0.079166 .
## Quarantine1 0.569212
## NEBusinessClose1 0.927148
## TravelRestrictIntra1 0.000418 ***
## GathRecom1 0.319493
## TravelRestrictExit1 0.835964
## TravelRestrictEntry1 0.115726
## total.num.policy NA
## num.policy.7avg 0.344358
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 3.16e-10 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.623943
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 5.81e-05 ***
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.403020
## smoothed_cli < 2e-16 ***
## smoothed_adj_cli < 2e-16 ***
## SchoolClose1:GathRestrict1 1.87e-05 ***
## SchoolClose1:BarRestrict1 0.858304
## SchoolClose1:OtherBusinessClose1 0.424113
## SchoolClose1:RestaurantRestrict1 0.055204 .
## SchoolClose1:CaseIsolation1 0.622561
## SchoolClose1:StayAtHome1 0.884115
## SchoolClose1:PublicMask1 0.595354
## SchoolClose1:Quarantine1 0.095330 .
## SchoolClose1:NEBusinessClose1 0.041139 *
## SchoolClose1:TravelRestrictIntra1 0.002571 **
## SchoolClose1:GathRecom1 0.558971
## SchoolClose1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## SchoolClose1:TravelRestrictEntry1 0.723441
## SchoolClose1:total.num.policy NA
## SchoolClose1:num.policy.7avg 0.178662
## SchoolClose1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.224576
## SchoolClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.004268 **
## SchoolClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.036243 *
## SchoolClose1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.546772
## SchoolClose1:smoothed_cli 0.100002
## SchoolClose1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.048635 *
## GathRestrict1:BarRestrict1 0.723342
## GathRestrict1:OtherBusinessClose1 NA
## GathRestrict1:RestaurantRestrict1 NA
## GathRestrict1:CaseIsolation1 0.642596
## GathRestrict1:StayAtHome1 0.055053 .
## GathRestrict1:PublicMask1 0.008862 **
## GathRestrict1:Quarantine1 5.57e-05 ***
## GathRestrict1:NEBusinessClose1 0.044403 *
## GathRestrict1:TravelRestrictIntra1 0.001630 **
## GathRestrict1:GathRecom1 0.817273
## GathRestrict1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## GathRestrict1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## GathRestrict1:total.num.policy NA
## GathRestrict1:num.policy.7avg 0.265395
## GathRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.501109
## GathRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 8.56e-15 ***
## GathRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.000205 ***
## GathRestrict1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.37e-10 ***
## GathRestrict1:smoothed_cli 0.183786
## GathRestrict1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.221399
## BarRestrict1:OtherBusinessClose1 1.27e-07 ***
## BarRestrict1:RestaurantRestrict1 0.857633
## BarRestrict1:CaseIsolation1 0.083378 .
## BarRestrict1:StayAtHome1 0.657543
## BarRestrict1:PublicMask1 0.033315 *
## BarRestrict1:Quarantine1 0.088582 .
## BarRestrict1:NEBusinessClose1 NA
## BarRestrict1:TravelRestrictIntra1 1.47e-06 ***
## BarRestrict1:GathRecom1 0.779755
## BarRestrict1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## BarRestrict1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## BarRestrict1:total.num.policy NA
## BarRestrict1:num.policy.7avg 0.403314
## BarRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.022354 *
## BarRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.002104 **
## BarRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.030441 *
## BarRestrict1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.229756
## BarRestrict1:smoothed_cli 0.668527
## BarRestrict1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.326437
## OtherBusinessClose1:RestaurantRestrict1 NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:CaseIsolation1 0.258883
## OtherBusinessClose1:StayAtHome1 0.672588
## OtherBusinessClose1:PublicMask1 0.272081
## OtherBusinessClose1:Quarantine1 0.000249 ***
## OtherBusinessClose1:NEBusinessClose1 0.198820
## OtherBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:GathRecom1 0.944219
## OtherBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:total.num.policy NA
## OtherBusinessClose1:num.policy.7avg 0.093407 .
## OtherBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.371364
## OtherBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 6.14e-05 ***
## OtherBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 9.82e-07 ***
## OtherBusinessClose1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.001001 **
## OtherBusinessClose1:smoothed_cli 0.003871 **
## OtherBusinessClose1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.002393 **
## RestaurantRestrict1:CaseIsolation1 0.083346 .
## RestaurantRestrict1:StayAtHome1 0.586481
## RestaurantRestrict1:PublicMask1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:Quarantine1 0.962688
## RestaurantRestrict1:NEBusinessClose1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:GathRecom1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:total.num.policy NA
## RestaurantRestrict1:num.policy.7avg 0.016891 *
## RestaurantRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.135715
## RestaurantRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.172747
## RestaurantRestrict1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.158012
## RestaurantRestrict1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.939186
## RestaurantRestrict1:smoothed_cli 0.062134 .
## RestaurantRestrict1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.152951
## CaseIsolation1:StayAtHome1 0.145399
## CaseIsolation1:PublicMask1 0.909758
## CaseIsolation1:Quarantine1 0.065887 .
## CaseIsolation1:NEBusinessClose1 0.004433 **
## CaseIsolation1:TravelRestrictIntra1 6.44e-05 ***
## CaseIsolation1:GathRecom1 0.337505
## CaseIsolation1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## CaseIsolation1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## CaseIsolation1:total.num.policy NA
## CaseIsolation1:num.policy.7avg 0.381584
## CaseIsolation1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.381837
## CaseIsolation1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.007311 **
## CaseIsolation1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.791842
## CaseIsolation1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000398 ***
## CaseIsolation1:smoothed_cli 0.754964
## CaseIsolation1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.406383
## StayAtHome1:PublicMask1 0.521836
## StayAtHome1:Quarantine1 0.554556
## StayAtHome1:NEBusinessClose1 5.05e-06 ***
## StayAtHome1:TravelRestrictIntra1 0.239024
## StayAtHome1:GathRecom1 0.122082
## StayAtHome1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## StayAtHome1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## StayAtHome1:total.num.policy NA
## StayAtHome1:num.policy.7avg 0.070290 .
## StayAtHome1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.455126
## StayAtHome1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 8.89e-10 ***
## StayAtHome1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.017704 *
## StayAtHome1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 4.99e-06 ***
## StayAtHome1:smoothed_cli 0.652125
## StayAtHome1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.738177
## PublicMask1:Quarantine1 0.011326 *
## PublicMask1:NEBusinessClose1 0.096958 .
## PublicMask1:TravelRestrictIntra1 0.032891 *
## PublicMask1:GathRecom1 0.129685
## PublicMask1:TravelRestrictExit1 0.621958
## PublicMask1:TravelRestrictEntry1 0.000846 ***
## PublicMask1:total.num.policy NA
## PublicMask1:num.policy.7avg 0.724965
## PublicMask1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.980193
## PublicMask1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.097053 .
## PublicMask1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.220204
## PublicMask1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.189020
## PublicMask1:smoothed_cli 0.000527 ***
## PublicMask1:smoothed_adj_cli 7.61e-05 ***
## Quarantine1:NEBusinessClose1 2.14e-09 ***
## Quarantine1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA
## Quarantine1:GathRecom1 0.974807
## Quarantine1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## Quarantine1:TravelRestrictEntry1 0.644338
## Quarantine1:total.num.policy NA
## Quarantine1:num.policy.7avg 0.038523 *
## Quarantine1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.973569
## Quarantine1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 2.67e-07 ***
## Quarantine1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.009168 **
## Quarantine1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 7.43e-05 ***
## Quarantine1:smoothed_cli 0.274613
## Quarantine1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.194946
## NEBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictIntra1 NA
## NEBusinessClose1:GathRecom1 0.026149 *
## NEBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## NEBusinessClose1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## NEBusinessClose1:total.num.policy NA
## NEBusinessClose1:num.policy.7avg 0.016072 *
## NEBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.105443
## NEBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.005544 **
## NEBusinessClose1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.285671
## NEBusinessClose1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.035768 *
## NEBusinessClose1:smoothed_cli 0.047070 *
## NEBusinessClose1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.070450 .
## TravelRestrictIntra1:GathRecom1 5.05e-10 ***
## TravelRestrictIntra1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## TravelRestrictIntra1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## TravelRestrictIntra1:total.num.policy NA
## TravelRestrictIntra1:num.policy.7avg 0.031096 *
## TravelRestrictIntra1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.294999
## TravelRestrictIntra1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.843439
## TravelRestrictIntra1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.994628
## TravelRestrictIntra1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.841023
## TravelRestrictIntra1:smoothed_cli 0.239113
## TravelRestrictIntra1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.117795
## GathRecom1:TravelRestrictExit1 NA
## GathRecom1:TravelRestrictEntry1 NA
## GathRecom1:total.num.policy NA
## GathRecom1:num.policy.7avg 0.767281
## GathRecom1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.368604
## GathRecom1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.015375 *
## GathRecom1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.695477
## GathRecom1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.001011 **
## GathRecom1:smoothed_cli 0.681754
## GathRecom1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.328865
## TravelRestrictExit1:TravelRestrictEntry1 0.778438
## TravelRestrictExit1:total.num.policy NA
## TravelRestrictExit1:num.policy.7avg 0.811366
## TravelRestrictExit1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.117247
## TravelRestrictExit1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.408676
## TravelRestrictExit1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop NA
## TravelRestrictExit1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.515239
## TravelRestrictExit1:smoothed_cli 0.126838
## TravelRestrictExit1:smoothed_adj_cli 0.320151
## TravelRestrictEntry1:total.num.policy NA
## TravelRestrictEntry1:num.policy.7avg 0.131355
## TravelRestrictEntry1:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.283848
## TravelRestrictEntry1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.522602
## TravelRestrictEntry1:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.435908
## TravelRestrictEntry1:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.648101
## TravelRestrictEntry1:smoothed_cli 2.52e-09 ***
## TravelRestrictEntry1:smoothed_adj_cli 9.06e-07 ***
## total.num.policy:num.policy.7avg NA
## total.num.policy:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num NA
## total.num.policy:confirmed_7dav_cumulative NA
## total.num.policy:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop NA
## total.num.policy:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num NA
## total.num.policy:smoothed_cli NA
## total.num.policy:smoothed_adj_cli NA
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.421664
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.727679
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.643949
## num.policy.7avg:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.547560
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_cli 0.610319
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_adj_cli 0.644489
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative < 2e-16 ***
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 3.40e-12 ***
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.005932 **
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_cli 8.22e-10 ***
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_adj_cli 1.61e-13 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop < 2e-16 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.011401 *
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_cli 9.77e-08 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_adj_cli 8.24e-12 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 7.48e-12 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_cli 0.085533 .
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_adj_cli 0.013307 *
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_cli 6.01e-07 ***
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_adj_cli 9.00e-12 ***
## smoothed_cli:smoothed_adj_cli 1.45e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.009288 on 9643 degrees of freedom
## (1683 observations deleted due to missingness)
## Multiple R-squared: 0.4844, Adjusted R-squared: 0.4737
## F-statistic: 45.52 on 199 and 9643 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16plot(lm.fit.2)## Warning: not plotting observations with leverage one:
## 532, 2211
## Warning: not plotting observations with leverage one:
## 532, 2211
par(mfrow=c(1,1))anova(lm.fit.1)## Analysis of Variance Table
##
## Response: full_time_work_prop
## Df Sum Sq Mean Sq F value Pr(>F)
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00453 0.004532 41.2971 1.368e-10 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.03217 0.032172 293.1597 < 2.2e-16 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.14921 0.149215 1359.6728 < 2.2e-16 ***
## PublicMask 1 0.00505 0.005047 45.9886 1.258e-11 ***
## StayAtHome 1 0.00094 0.000940 8.5631 0.003438 **
## SchoolClose 1 0.04153 0.041530 378.4304 < 2.2e-16 ***
## BarRestrict 1 0.00825 0.008247 75.1441 < 2.2e-16 ***
## RestaurantRestrict 1 0.00070 0.000700 6.3745 0.011593 *
## Quarantine 1 0.00264 0.002638 24.0353 9.610e-07 ***
## NEBusinessClose 1 0.00001 0.000011 0.0995 0.752415
## TravelRestrictIntra 1 0.00014 0.000138 1.2583 0.262006
## TravelRestrictExit 1 0.00081 0.000813 7.4049 0.006516 **
## TravelRestrictEntry 1 0.00000 0.000002 0.0178 0.893903
## GathRecom 1 0.00002 0.000015 0.1385 0.709795
## total.num.policy 1 0.00001 0.000013 0.1170 0.732341
## num.policy.7avg 1 0.00033 0.000332 3.0286 0.081838 .
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.01015 0.010152 92.5039 < 2.2e-16 ***
## smoothed_cli 1 0.06055 0.060555 551.7884 < 2.2e-16 ***
## smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.21474 0.214736 1956.7134 < 2.2e-16 ***
## CaseIsolation 1 0.00354 0.003538 32.2352 1.405e-08 ***
## Residuals 9822 1.07790 0.000110
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1anova(lm.fit.2)## Analysis of Variance Table
##
## Response: full_time_work_prop
## Df Sum Sq
## SchoolClose 1 0.14053
## GathRestrict 1 0.00000
## BarRestrict 1 0.00304
## OtherBusinessClose 1 0.00959
## RestaurantRestrict 1 0.00005
## CaseIsolation 1 0.00466
## StayAtHome 1 0.00024
## PublicMask 1 0.01894
## Quarantine 1 0.00527
## NEBusinessClose 1 0.00114
## TravelRestrictIntra 1 0.00298
## GathRecom 1 0.00011
## TravelRestrictExit 1 0.00179
## TravelRestrictEntry 1 0.00110
## num.policy.7avg 1 0.00034
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00014
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00690
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.05592
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.01104
## smoothed_cli 1 0.05799
## smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.21515
## SchoolClose:GathRestrict 1 0.00104
## SchoolClose:BarRestrict 1 0.00038
## SchoolClose:OtherBusinessClose 1 0.00049
## SchoolClose:RestaurantRestrict 1 0.00058
## SchoolClose:CaseIsolation 1 0.00080
## SchoolClose:StayAtHome 1 0.00129
## SchoolClose:PublicMask 1 0.00033
## SchoolClose:Quarantine 1 0.00000
## SchoolClose:NEBusinessClose 1 0.00388
## SchoolClose:TravelRestrictIntra 1 0.00426
## SchoolClose:GathRecom 1 0.00001
## SchoolClose:TravelRestrictEntry 1 0.00008
## SchoolClose:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00010
## SchoolClose:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00452
## SchoolClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00248
## SchoolClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00562
## SchoolClose:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00200
## SchoolClose:smoothed_cli 1 0.00072
## SchoolClose:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.01520
## GathRestrict:BarRestrict 1 0.00449
## GathRestrict:CaseIsolation 1 0.00392
## GathRestrict:StayAtHome 1 0.00861
## GathRestrict:PublicMask 1 0.00100
## GathRestrict:Quarantine 1 0.00453
## GathRestrict:NEBusinessClose 1 0.00087
## GathRestrict:TravelRestrictIntra 1 0.00004
## GathRestrict:GathRecom 1 0.00001
## GathRestrict:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00001
## GathRestrict:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00107
## GathRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00034
## GathRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00440
## GathRestrict:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00389
## GathRestrict:smoothed_cli 1 0.00116
## GathRestrict:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00013
## BarRestrict:OtherBusinessClose 1 0.00154
## BarRestrict:RestaurantRestrict 1 0.00002
## BarRestrict:CaseIsolation 1 0.00001
## BarRestrict:StayAtHome 1 0.00094
## BarRestrict:PublicMask 1 0.00163
## BarRestrict:Quarantine 1 0.00000
## BarRestrict:TravelRestrictIntra 1 0.00208
## BarRestrict:GathRecom 1 0.00008
## BarRestrict:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00000
## BarRestrict:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00402
## BarRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00319
## BarRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00157
## BarRestrict:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00056
## BarRestrict:smoothed_cli 1 0.00504
## BarRestrict:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00138
## OtherBusinessClose:CaseIsolation 1 0.00299
## OtherBusinessClose:StayAtHome 1 0.00392
## OtherBusinessClose:PublicMask 1 0.00031
## OtherBusinessClose:Quarantine 1 0.00826
## OtherBusinessClose:NEBusinessClose 1 0.00667
## OtherBusinessClose:GathRecom 1 0.00113
## OtherBusinessClose:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00019
## OtherBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00004
## OtherBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00006
## OtherBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00609
## OtherBusinessClose:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00078
## OtherBusinessClose:smoothed_cli 1 0.00007
## OtherBusinessClose:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00460
## RestaurantRestrict:CaseIsolation 1 0.00002
## RestaurantRestrict:StayAtHome 1 0.00004
## RestaurantRestrict:Quarantine 1 0.00012
## RestaurantRestrict:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00041
## RestaurantRestrict:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00037
## RestaurantRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00021
## RestaurantRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00068
## RestaurantRestrict:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00000
## RestaurantRestrict:smoothed_cli 1 0.00037
## RestaurantRestrict:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00005
## CaseIsolation:StayAtHome 1 0.00066
## CaseIsolation:PublicMask 1 0.00061
## CaseIsolation:Quarantine 1 0.00000
## CaseIsolation:NEBusinessClose 1 0.00914
## CaseIsolation:TravelRestrictIntra 1 0.00065
## CaseIsolation:GathRecom 1 0.00146
## CaseIsolation:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00017
## CaseIsolation:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00025
## CaseIsolation:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00015
## CaseIsolation:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00146
## CaseIsolation:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00145
## CaseIsolation:smoothed_cli 1 0.00007
## CaseIsolation:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00471
## StayAtHome:PublicMask 1 0.00264
## StayAtHome:Quarantine 1 0.00130
## StayAtHome:NEBusinessClose 1 0.00602
## StayAtHome:TravelRestrictIntra 1 0.00010
## StayAtHome:GathRecom 1 0.00036
## StayAtHome:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00013
## StayAtHome:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00080
## StayAtHome:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00012
## StayAtHome:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00012
## StayAtHome:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00268
## StayAtHome:smoothed_cli 1 0.00027
## StayAtHome:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00127
## PublicMask:Quarantine 1 0.00042
## PublicMask:NEBusinessClose 1 0.00003
## PublicMask:TravelRestrictIntra 1 0.00009
## PublicMask:GathRecom 1 0.00001
## PublicMask:TravelRestrictExit 1 0.00001
## PublicMask:TravelRestrictEntry 1 0.00092
## PublicMask:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00000
## PublicMask:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00031
## PublicMask:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00104
## PublicMask:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00046
## PublicMask:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00005
## PublicMask:smoothed_cli 1 0.00000
## PublicMask:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00400
## Quarantine:NEBusinessClose 1 0.00312
## Quarantine:GathRecom 1 0.00494
## Quarantine:TravelRestrictEntry 1 0.00000
## Quarantine:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00007
## Quarantine:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00005
## Quarantine:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00008
## Quarantine:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00307
## Quarantine:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00368
## Quarantine:smoothed_cli 1 0.00035
## Quarantine:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00018
## NEBusinessClose:GathRecom 1 0.00001
## NEBusinessClose:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00032
## NEBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00001
## NEBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00001
## NEBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00188
## NEBusinessClose:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00012
## NEBusinessClose:smoothed_cli 1 0.00076
## NEBusinessClose:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00272
## TravelRestrictIntra:GathRecom 1 0.00494
## TravelRestrictIntra:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00037
## TravelRestrictIntra:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00006
## TravelRestrictIntra:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00003
## TravelRestrictIntra:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00004
## TravelRestrictIntra:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00000
## TravelRestrictIntra:smoothed_cli 1 0.00066
## TravelRestrictIntra:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00023
## GathRecom:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00002
## GathRecom:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00004
## GathRecom:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00349
## GathRecom:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00010
## GathRecom:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00126
## GathRecom:smoothed_cli 1 0.00156
## GathRecom:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00008
## TravelRestrictExit:TravelRestrictEntry 1 0.00011
## TravelRestrictExit:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00000
## TravelRestrictExit:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00021
## TravelRestrictExit:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00008
## TravelRestrictExit:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00002
## TravelRestrictExit:smoothed_cli 1 0.00021
## TravelRestrictExit:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00009
## TravelRestrictEntry:num.policy.7avg 1 0.00015
## TravelRestrictEntry:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00006
## TravelRestrictEntry:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00086
## TravelRestrictEntry:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00059
## TravelRestrictEntry:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00001
## TravelRestrictEntry:smoothed_cli 1 0.00184
## TravelRestrictEntry:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00289
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 1 0.00033
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00000
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00006
## num.policy.7avg:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00010
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_cli 1 0.00000
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00001
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1 0.00207
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00076
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00001
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_cli 1 0.00005
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00181
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1 0.00223
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00080
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_cli 1 0.00006
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00141
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1 0.00444
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_cli 1 0.00202
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00009
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_cli 1 0.00014
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00344
## smoothed_cli:smoothed_adj_cli 1 0.00162
## Residuals 9643 0.83184
## Mean Sq F value
## SchoolClose 0.140528 1629.0657
## GathRestrict 0.000000 0.0040
## BarRestrict 0.003037 35.2053
## OtherBusinessClose 0.009587 111.1320
## RestaurantRestrict 0.000048 0.5555
## CaseIsolation 0.004658 53.9971
## StayAtHome 0.000236 2.7338
## PublicMask 0.018941 219.5728
## Quarantine 0.005273 61.1234
## NEBusinessClose 0.001137 13.1777
## TravelRestrictIntra 0.002975 34.4924
## GathRecom 0.000108 1.2519
## TravelRestrictExit 0.001794 20.7934
## TravelRestrictEntry 0.001102 12.7710
## num.policy.7avg 0.000344 3.9847
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000139 1.6117
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.006901 79.9991
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.055918 648.2254
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.011043 128.0110
## smoothed_cli 0.057985 672.1906
## smoothed_adj_cli 0.215152 2494.1318
## SchoolClose:GathRestrict 0.001036 12.0123
## SchoolClose:BarRestrict 0.000376 4.3578
## SchoolClose:OtherBusinessClose 0.000486 5.6347
## SchoolClose:RestaurantRestrict 0.000582 6.7521
## SchoolClose:CaseIsolation 0.000805 9.3282
## SchoolClose:StayAtHome 0.001291 14.9639
## SchoolClose:PublicMask 0.000329 3.8102
## SchoolClose:Quarantine 0.000003 0.0320
## SchoolClose:NEBusinessClose 0.003876 44.9376
## SchoolClose:TravelRestrictIntra 0.004259 49.3722
## SchoolClose:GathRecom 0.000009 0.1099
## SchoolClose:TravelRestrictEntry 0.000084 0.9762
## SchoolClose:num.policy.7avg 0.000099 1.1489
## SchoolClose:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.004518 52.3731
## SchoolClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.002485 28.8050
## SchoolClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.005622 65.1752
## SchoolClose:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.001999 23.1754
## SchoolClose:smoothed_cli 0.000722 8.3724
## SchoolClose:smoothed_adj_cli 0.015197 176.1684
## GathRestrict:BarRestrict 0.004487 52.0205
## GathRestrict:CaseIsolation 0.003921 45.4513
## GathRestrict:StayAtHome 0.008615 99.8685
## GathRestrict:PublicMask 0.001002 11.6206
## GathRestrict:Quarantine 0.004526 52.4709
## GathRestrict:NEBusinessClose 0.000873 10.1148
## GathRestrict:TravelRestrictIntra 0.000042 0.4848
## GathRestrict:GathRecom 0.000012 0.1427
## GathRestrict:num.policy.7avg 0.000009 0.1047
## GathRestrict:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.001067 12.3664
## GathRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000337 3.9095
## GathRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.004397 50.9726
## GathRestrict:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.003894 45.1439
## GathRestrict:smoothed_cli 0.001161 13.4537
## GathRestrict:smoothed_adj_cli 0.000132 1.5308
## BarRestrict:OtherBusinessClose 0.001541 17.8668
## BarRestrict:RestaurantRestrict 0.000018 0.2054
## BarRestrict:CaseIsolation 0.000011 0.1275
## BarRestrict:StayAtHome 0.000944 10.9396
## BarRestrict:PublicMask 0.001634 18.9461
## BarRestrict:Quarantine 0.000004 0.0468
## BarRestrict:TravelRestrictIntra 0.002080 24.1069
## BarRestrict:GathRecom 0.000084 0.9785
## BarRestrict:num.policy.7avg 0.000001 0.0097
## BarRestrict:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.004019 46.5911
## BarRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.003193 37.0155
## BarRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.001567 18.1704
## BarRestrict:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000556 6.4496
## BarRestrict:smoothed_cli 0.005040 58.4306
## BarRestrict:smoothed_adj_cli 0.001376 15.9565
## OtherBusinessClose:CaseIsolation 0.002987 34.6242
## OtherBusinessClose:StayAtHome 0.003923 45.4773
## OtherBusinessClose:PublicMask 0.000312 3.6172
## OtherBusinessClose:Quarantine 0.008260 95.7521
## OtherBusinessClose:NEBusinessClose 0.006669 77.3125
## OtherBusinessClose:GathRecom 0.001134 13.1437
## OtherBusinessClose:num.policy.7avg 0.000193 2.2399
## OtherBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000044 0.5048
## OtherBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000056 0.6485
## OtherBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.006093 70.6307
## OtherBusinessClose:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000777 9.0054
## OtherBusinessClose:smoothed_cli 0.000069 0.7957
## OtherBusinessClose:smoothed_adj_cli 0.004601 53.3344
## RestaurantRestrict:CaseIsolation 0.000015 0.1741
## RestaurantRestrict:StayAtHome 0.000043 0.5009
## RestaurantRestrict:Quarantine 0.000117 1.3536
## RestaurantRestrict:num.policy.7avg 0.000412 4.7794
## RestaurantRestrict:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000372 4.3137
## RestaurantRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000213 2.4661
## RestaurantRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.000678 7.8632
## RestaurantRestrict:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000002 0.0270
## RestaurantRestrict:smoothed_cli 0.000368 4.2669
## RestaurantRestrict:smoothed_adj_cli 0.000051 0.5928
## CaseIsolation:StayAtHome 0.000662 7.6763
## CaseIsolation:PublicMask 0.000606 7.0255
## CaseIsolation:Quarantine 0.000001 0.0117
## CaseIsolation:NEBusinessClose 0.009144 105.9988
## CaseIsolation:TravelRestrictIntra 0.000653 7.5680
## CaseIsolation:GathRecom 0.001458 16.9051
## CaseIsolation:num.policy.7avg 0.000167 1.9304
## CaseIsolation:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000248 2.8800
## CaseIsolation:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000147 1.7021
## CaseIsolation:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.001459 16.9116
## CaseIsolation:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.001446 16.7614
## CaseIsolation:smoothed_cli 0.000066 0.7630
## CaseIsolation:smoothed_adj_cli 0.004714 54.6516
## StayAtHome:PublicMask 0.002641 30.6111
## StayAtHome:Quarantine 0.001305 15.1260
## StayAtHome:NEBusinessClose 0.006025 69.8395
## StayAtHome:TravelRestrictIntra 0.000103 1.1994
## StayAtHome:GathRecom 0.000356 4.1315
## StayAtHome:num.policy.7avg 0.000130 1.5046
## StayAtHome:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000801 9.2865
## StayAtHome:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000119 1.3774
## StayAtHome:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.000118 1.3702
## StayAtHome:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.002680 31.0715
## StayAtHome:smoothed_cli 0.000269 3.1139
## StayAtHome:smoothed_adj_cli 0.001269 14.7146
## PublicMask:Quarantine 0.000420 4.8684
## PublicMask:NEBusinessClose 0.000025 0.2922
## PublicMask:TravelRestrictIntra 0.000088 1.0178
## PublicMask:GathRecom 0.000007 0.0827
## PublicMask:TravelRestrictExit 0.000010 0.1134
## PublicMask:TravelRestrictEntry 0.000919 10.6583
## PublicMask:num.policy.7avg 0.000002 0.0213
## PublicMask:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000314 3.6395
## PublicMask:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.001044 12.1078
## PublicMask:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.000461 5.3420
## PublicMask:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000049 0.5644
## PublicMask:smoothed_cli 0.000002 0.0182
## PublicMask:smoothed_adj_cli 0.004004 46.4197
## Quarantine:NEBusinessClose 0.003117 36.1295
## Quarantine:GathRecom 0.004944 57.3103
## Quarantine:TravelRestrictEntry 0.000004 0.0493
## Quarantine:num.policy.7avg 0.000071 0.8209
## Quarantine:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000053 0.6150
## Quarantine:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000076 0.8777
## Quarantine:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.003066 35.5386
## Quarantine:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.003683 42.6996
## Quarantine:smoothed_cli 0.000350 4.0529
## Quarantine:smoothed_adj_cli 0.000185 2.1438
## NEBusinessClose:GathRecom 0.000008 0.0885
## NEBusinessClose:num.policy.7avg 0.000319 3.7012
## NEBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000005 0.0609
## NEBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000009 0.1017
## NEBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.001881 21.8027
## NEBusinessClose:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000123 1.4278
## NEBusinessClose:smoothed_cli 0.000762 8.8376
## NEBusinessClose:smoothed_adj_cli 0.002724 31.5825
## TravelRestrictIntra:GathRecom 0.004936 57.2213
## TravelRestrictIntra:num.policy.7avg 0.000366 4.2438
## TravelRestrictIntra:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000057 0.6639
## TravelRestrictIntra:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000025 0.2914
## TravelRestrictIntra:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.000045 0.5211
## TravelRestrictIntra:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000001 0.0070
## TravelRestrictIntra:smoothed_cli 0.000665 7.7043
## TravelRestrictIntra:smoothed_adj_cli 0.000225 2.6099
## GathRecom:num.policy.7avg 0.000017 0.1998
## GathRecom:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000045 0.5206
## GathRecom:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.003494 40.5003
## GathRecom:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.000100 1.1613
## GathRecom:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.001256 14.5560
## GathRecom:smoothed_cli 0.001562 18.1018
## GathRecom:smoothed_adj_cli 0.000082 0.9480
## TravelRestrictExit:TravelRestrictEntry 0.000113 1.3073
## TravelRestrictExit:num.policy.7avg 0.000000 0.0004
## TravelRestrictExit:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000210 2.4387
## TravelRestrictExit:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000075 0.8725
## TravelRestrictExit:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000017 0.1997
## TravelRestrictExit:smoothed_cli 0.000207 2.4015
## TravelRestrictExit:smoothed_adj_cli 0.000089 1.0303
## TravelRestrictEntry:num.policy.7avg 0.000152 1.7613
## TravelRestrictEntry:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000057 0.6584
## TravelRestrictEntry:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000856 9.9251
## TravelRestrictEntry:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.000594 6.8827
## TravelRestrictEntry:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000009 0.1063
## TravelRestrictEntry:smoothed_cli 0.001841 21.3445
## TravelRestrictEntry:smoothed_adj_cli 0.002887 33.4705
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.000329 3.8163
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.000004 0.0410
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.000058 0.6718
## num.policy.7avg:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000097 1.1210
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_cli 0.000005 0.0524
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_adj_cli 0.000007 0.0813
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.002067 23.9670
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.000764 8.8611
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000008 0.0970
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_cli 0.000048 0.5621
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_adj_cli 0.001813 21.0121
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.002228 25.8293
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.000801 9.2838
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_cli 0.000063 0.7349
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_adj_cli 0.001413 16.3808
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.004439 51.4573
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_cli 0.002022 23.4421
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_adj_cli 0.000091 1.0529
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_cli 0.000144 1.6728
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_adj_cli 0.003444 39.9297
## smoothed_cli:smoothed_adj_cli 0.001624 18.8237
## Residuals 0.000086
## Pr(>F)
## SchoolClose < 2.2e-16 ***
## GathRestrict 0.9494931
## BarRestrict 3.069e-09 ***
## OtherBusinessClose < 2.2e-16 ***
## RestaurantRestrict 0.4560908
## CaseIsolation 2.171e-13 ***
## StayAtHome 0.0982792 .
## PublicMask < 2.2e-16 ***
## Quarantine 5.922e-15 ***
## NEBusinessClose 0.0002848 ***
## TravelRestrictIntra 4.421e-09 ***
## GathRecom 0.2632125
## TravelRestrictExit 5.179e-06 ***
## TravelRestrictEntry 0.0003538 ***
## num.policy.7avg 0.0459421 *
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.2042889
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative < 2.2e-16 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop < 2.2e-16 ***
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num < 2.2e-16 ***
## smoothed_cli < 2.2e-16 ***
## smoothed_adj_cli < 2.2e-16 ***
## SchoolClose:GathRestrict 0.0005308 ***
## SchoolClose:BarRestrict 0.0368667 *
## SchoolClose:OtherBusinessClose 0.0176282 *
## SchoolClose:RestaurantRestrict 0.0093781 **
## SchoolClose:CaseIsolation 0.0022627 **
## SchoolClose:StayAtHome 0.0001103 ***
## SchoolClose:PublicMask 0.0509708 .
## SchoolClose:Quarantine 0.8579437
## SchoolClose:NEBusinessClose 2.148e-11 ***
## SchoolClose:TravelRestrictIntra 2.261e-12 ***
## SchoolClose:GathRecom 0.7402287
## SchoolClose:TravelRestrictEntry 0.3231726
## SchoolClose:num.policy.7avg 0.2838117
## SchoolClose:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 4.940e-13 ***
## SchoolClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 8.190e-08 ***
## SchoolClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 7.672e-16 ***
## SchoolClose:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1.501e-06 ***
## SchoolClose:smoothed_cli 0.0038181 **
## SchoolClose:smoothed_adj_cli < 2.2e-16 ***
## GathRestrict:BarRestrict 5.906e-13 ***
## GathRestrict:CaseIsolation 1.654e-11 ***
## GathRestrict:StayAtHome < 2.2e-16 ***
## GathRestrict:PublicMask 0.0006549 ***
## GathRestrict:Quarantine 4.701e-13 ***
## GathRestrict:NEBusinessClose 0.0014755 **
## GathRestrict:TravelRestrictIntra 0.4862799
## GathRestrict:GathRecom 0.7056058
## GathRestrict:num.policy.7avg 0.7463004
## GathRestrict:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.0004391 ***
## GathRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.0480413 *
## GathRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 1.004e-12 ***
## GathRestrict:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 1.934e-11 ***
## GathRestrict:smoothed_cli 0.0002458 ***
## GathRestrict:smoothed_adj_cli 0.2160160
## BarRestrict:OtherBusinessClose 2.391e-05 ***
## BarRestrict:RestaurantRestrict 0.6504118
## BarRestrict:CaseIsolation 0.7210836
## BarRestrict:StayAtHome 0.0009447 ***
## BarRestrict:PublicMask 1.358e-05 ***
## BarRestrict:Quarantine 0.8287516
## BarRestrict:TravelRestrictIntra 9.263e-07 ***
## BarRestrict:GathRecom 0.3225942
## BarRestrict:num.policy.7avg 0.9216691
## BarRestrict:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 9.273e-12 ***
## BarRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 1.217e-09 ***
## BarRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 2.039e-05 ***
## BarRestrict:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.0111134 *
## BarRestrict:smoothed_cli 2.307e-14 ***
## BarRestrict:smoothed_adj_cli 6.530e-05 ***
## OtherBusinessClose:CaseIsolation 4.132e-09 ***
## OtherBusinessClose:StayAtHome 1.633e-11 ***
## OtherBusinessClose:PublicMask 0.0572146 .
## OtherBusinessClose:Quarantine < 2.2e-16 ***
## OtherBusinessClose:NEBusinessClose < 2.2e-16 ***
## OtherBusinessClose:GathRecom 0.0002900 ***
## OtherBusinessClose:num.policy.7avg 0.1345239
## OtherBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.4774348
## OtherBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.4206744
## OtherBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop < 2.2e-16 ***
## OtherBusinessClose:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.0026987 **
## OtherBusinessClose:smoothed_cli 0.3724071
## OtherBusinessClose:smoothed_adj_cli 3.036e-13 ***
## RestaurantRestrict:CaseIsolation 0.6764980
## RestaurantRestrict:StayAtHome 0.4791377
## RestaurantRestrict:Quarantine 0.2446786
## RestaurantRestrict:num.policy.7avg 0.0288269 *
## RestaurantRestrict:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.0378323 *
## RestaurantRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.1163555
## RestaurantRestrict:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.0050553 **
## RestaurantRestrict:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.8696005
## RestaurantRestrict:smoothed_cli 0.0388890 *
## RestaurantRestrict:smoothed_adj_cli 0.4413599
## CaseIsolation:StayAtHome 0.0056057 **
## CaseIsolation:PublicMask 0.0080490 **
## CaseIsolation:Quarantine 0.9139603
## CaseIsolation:NEBusinessClose < 2.2e-16 ***
## CaseIsolation:TravelRestrictIntra 0.0059523 **
## CaseIsolation:GathRecom 3.962e-05 ***
## CaseIsolation:num.policy.7avg 0.1647474
## CaseIsolation:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.0897207 .
## CaseIsolation:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.1920435
## CaseIsolation:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 3.949e-05 ***
## CaseIsolation:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 4.273e-05 ***
## CaseIsolation:smoothed_cli 0.3824035
## CaseIsolation:smoothed_adj_cli 1.559e-13 ***
## StayAtHome:PublicMask 3.235e-08 ***
## StayAtHome:Quarantine 0.0001012 ***
## StayAtHome:NEBusinessClose < 2.2e-16 ***
## StayAtHome:TravelRestrictIntra 0.2734715
## StayAtHome:GathRecom 0.0421200 *
## StayAtHome:num.policy.7avg 0.2199999
## StayAtHome:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.0023148 **
## StayAtHome:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.2405707
## StayAtHome:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.2418090
## StayAtHome:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 2.554e-08 ***
## StayAtHome:smoothed_cli 0.0776569 .
## StayAtHome:smoothed_adj_cli 0.0001259 ***
## PublicMask:Quarantine 0.0273767 *
## PublicMask:NEBusinessClose 0.5887981
## PublicMask:TravelRestrictIntra 0.3130600
## PublicMask:GathRecom 0.7737347
## PublicMask:TravelRestrictExit 0.7363305
## PublicMask:TravelRestrictEntry 0.0010996 **
## PublicMask:num.policy.7avg 0.8839877
## PublicMask:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.0564523 .
## PublicMask:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.0005043 ***
## PublicMask:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.0208390 *
## PublicMask:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.4524926
## PublicMask:smoothed_cli 0.8925776
## PublicMask:smoothed_adj_cli 1.012e-11 ***
## Quarantine:NEBusinessClose 1.913e-09 ***
## Quarantine:GathRecom 4.063e-14 ***
## Quarantine:TravelRestrictEntry 0.8242379
## Quarantine:num.policy.7avg 0.3649273
## Quarantine:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.4329280
## Quarantine:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.3488601
## Quarantine:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 2.588e-09 ***
## Quarantine:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 6.705e-11 ***
## Quarantine:smoothed_cli 0.0441223 *
## Quarantine:smoothed_adj_cli 0.1431841
## NEBusinessClose:GathRecom 0.7660808
## NEBusinessClose:num.policy.7avg 0.0544016 .
## NEBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.8050911
## NEBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.7497702
## NEBusinessClose:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 3.062e-06 ***
## NEBusinessClose:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.2321496
## NEBusinessClose:smoothed_cli 0.0029581 **
## NEBusinessClose:smoothed_adj_cli 1.965e-08 ***
## TravelRestrictIntra:GathRecom 4.250e-14 ***
## TravelRestrictIntra:num.policy.7avg 0.0394204 *
## TravelRestrictIntra:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.4152018
## TravelRestrictIntra:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.5893537
## TravelRestrictIntra:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.4703964
## TravelRestrictIntra:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.9333061
## TravelRestrictIntra:smoothed_cli 0.0055195 **
## TravelRestrictIntra:smoothed_adj_cli 0.1062310
## GathRecom:num.policy.7avg 0.6548597
## GathRecom:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.4705888
## GathRecom:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 2.055e-10 ***
## GathRecom:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.2812215
## GathRecom:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.0001369 ***
## GathRecom:smoothed_cli 2.114e-05 ***
## GathRecom:smoothed_adj_cli 0.3302495
## TravelRestrictExit:TravelRestrictEntry 0.2529137
## TravelRestrictExit:num.policy.7avg 0.9850096
## TravelRestrictExit:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.1184035
## TravelRestrictExit:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.3502780
## TravelRestrictExit:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.6549802
## TravelRestrictExit:smoothed_cli 0.1212490
## TravelRestrictExit:smoothed_adj_cli 0.3101115
## TravelRestrictEntry:num.policy.7avg 0.1844974
## TravelRestrictEntry:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.4171616
## TravelRestrictEntry:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.0016353 **
## TravelRestrictEntry:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.0087173 **
## TravelRestrictEntry:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.7444576
## TravelRestrictEntry:smoothed_cli 3.887e-06 ***
## TravelRestrictEntry:smoothed_adj_cli 7.461e-09 ***
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_incidence_num 0.0507848 .
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 0.8395085
## num.policy.7avg:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.4124453
## num.policy.7avg:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.2897277
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_cli 0.8188652
## num.policy.7avg:smoothed_adj_cli 0.7756104
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative 9.959e-07 ***
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 0.0029203 **
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.7554409
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_cli 0.4534222
## confirmed_7dav_incidence_num:smoothed_adj_cli 4.621e-06 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop 3.800e-07 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 0.0023181 **
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_cli 0.3913107
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative:smoothed_adj_cli 5.221e-05 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:deaths_7dav_cumulative_num 7.856e-13 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_cli 1.307e-06 ***
## confirmed_7dav_cumulative_prop:smoothed_adj_cli 0.3048700
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_cli 0.1959203
## deaths_7dav_cumulative_num:smoothed_adj_cli 2.749e-10 ***
## smoothed_cli:smoothed_adj_cli 1.448e-05 ***
## Residuals
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1# Change the default setting for unbalanced ANOVA
#options(contrasts = c("contr.sum", "contr.poly"))
# ANOVA test for unbalanced designs.
# print the ANOVA table for both models
#Anova(lm.fit.0, type = "III")
#Anova(lm.fit.1, singular.ok = T, type = "III") #set singular.ok = T to avoid error